Simple NFL QB Projection System

A projection system is a statistical model which takes into account historical data to predict future performance. Some famous projection systems include ZIPS:

  1. A factor or aging curve which takes into account the fact that younger players are likely to improve their performance while older players are likely to see a decline in their performance.
  2. Information about the league mean (what the average player will accomplish in any given year/season).
(Image by Author)
td_brady_16 = 0.960*(sum(df_brady['weight']*df_brady['TD%']*df_brady['Att'])
+5*average_td_rate_total)/(sum(df_brady['weight']*df_brady['Att']))

Passions: Physics, reading, data science

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